Colombian Labyrinth The Synergy of Drugs and Insugency and Its Implications for Regional Stability 1st Edition by Angel Rabasa, Peter Chalk ISBN 0833029940 9780833029942

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ISBN 10: 0833029940

ISBN 13: 9780833029942 

Author: Angel Rabasa, Peter Chalk

U.S. policy toward Colombia has been driven to a large extent by counter-narcotics considerations, but the evolving situation in that South American country confronts the United States with as much of a national security as a drug policy problem. Colombia is a geostrategically important country, whose trajectory will influence broader trends in the Andean region and beyond. Colombian Labyrinth examines the sources of instability in the country; the objectives, strategy, strengths, and weaknesses of the government, guerrillas, and paramilitaries and the balances among them; and the effects of the current U.S. assistance program. Possible scenarios and futures for Colombia are laid out, with implications for both the United States and neighboring countries. The authors find that instability in Colombia stems from the interaction and synergies of the underground drug economy and armed challenges to the state’s authority. Solutions to the core problem — the weakness of the Colombian State — must focus on resolving the broader set of political-military challenges that result from the convergence of drug trafficking and insurgency. The authors recommend that Colombia’s military and institutional capabilities be improved to enable the Colombian government to regain control of the countryside and that, at the same time, the United States work with Colombia’s neighbors to contain the risk of spillover and regional destabilization.

Table of contents:

1. Introduction: Sources of Instability

2. Political Trends

3. Economic Trends

4. Social Trends

5. Roadmap to the Report

6. The Illegal Drug Trade

7. The Main Players

8. Impact of Drug Trade on Colombia and the Region

9. Impact of the Drug Trade on US Interests

10. The US Response

11. Origins and Development of the Guerrillas

12. The National Liberation Army (ELN)

13. Other Guerrilla Groups

14. Links to the Drug Trade

15. Other Sources of Guerrilla Income

16. The Arms Pipeline

17. Supporting Networks and Information-Age Warfare

18. Guerrilla Strategy

19. The Local Dimension of Guerrilla Strategy

20. The Illegal Self-Defense Groups: Cause or Symptom of the Disorder?

21. Allegations of Collusion with the Colombian Military

22. Links to the Drug Trade

23. Political Actors or Criminals?

24. Colombian Government Strategy

25. Counter-Narcotics Strategy

26. Role of the United States

27. The Peace Negotiations

28. Prospects for a Peace Settlement

29. Conclusions

30. Colombian Futures

31. Turning the Tide

32. Stalemate

33. The Peruvian Model

34. Internationalization of the Conflict

35. A Wider Conflict?

36. Venezuela

37. Ecuador

38. Brazil

39. Conclusions

40. Implications for US Interests

41. Operational-Level Implications

42. Regional Cooperation

43. Conclusions

44. The Colombian Armed Forces

45. Bibliography

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Tags: Peter Chalk, Angel Rabasa, Colombian Labyrinth, Drugs, Insurgency, Regional Stability